Looks like the % on the CDC website I’ve been using to calculate “Expected” deaths have been adjusted somehow. Not sure what’s going on, but using their data here’s the latest. It’s indicating that from 2/1 through 5/9, there were 59,707 “excess deaths” (deaths above previous 3 years’ average). That’s compared to 73,513 COVID deaths.

USA Totals:

State comparisons:

New Jersey:

Wisconsin: