NJ LTC deaths update 6.4.20

Just a reminder I check the dashboard every day and update my numbers. I don’t know the actual dates of these deaths, just the amount the numbers changed on the dashboards from day to day. New Jersey remains on Phase 1 lockdown (rioters & looters exempt of course) for at least another 11 days before restrictions “start” to loosen.

DATE TOTAL  LTC REPORTED %LTC CONFIRMED%
5/6/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/7/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/8/2020    8,801                     4,556 51.8%
5/9/2020    8,952                     4,691 52.4%
5/10/2020    9,116                     4,825 52.9%
5/11/2020    9,255                     4,855 52.5%
5/12/2020    9,310                     4,890 52.5%
5/13/2020    9,508                     4,953 52.1%
5/14/2020    9,702                     5,016 51.7%
5/15/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/16/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/17/2020  10,249                     5,319 51.9%
5/18/2020  10,356                     5,376 51.9%
5/19/2020  10,435                     5,408 51.8%
5/20/2020  10,586                     5,368 50.7%                    4,295 40.6%
5/21/2020  10,747                     5,410 50.3%                    4,349 40.5%
5/22/2020  10,843                     5,456 50.3%                    4,502 41.5%
5/23/2020  10,985                     5,485 49.9%                    4,665 42.5%
5/24/2020  11,081                     5,581 50.4%                    4,720 42.6%
5/25/2020  11,133                     5,619 50.5%                    4,755 42.7%
5/26/2020  11,144                     5,654 50.7%                    4,768 42.8%
5/27/2020  11,191                     5,684 50.8%                    4,793 42.8%
5/28/2020  11,339                     5,721 50.5%                    4,871 43.0%
5/29/2020  11,401                     5,751 50.4%                    4,804 42.1%
5/30/2020  11,531                     5,828 50.5%                    4,858 42.1%
6/1/2020  11,698                     5,892 50.4%                    4,935 42.2%
6/2/2020  11,770                     5,965 50.7%                    5,004 42.5%
6/3/2020  11,770                     5,965 50.7%                    5,004 42.5%
6/4/2020  11,970                     6,061 50.6%                    5,128 42.8%

I don’t support the BLM protests

I don’t support the police. I don’t think they should exist in their current state-enforced monopoly at all. I think it’s an immoral profession. But I also don’t support the current protesters, even the peaceful ones. I know they have a right to protest, but I don’t need to support every protest in the world as if protests are automatically good for their own sake.

  1. The whole premise of these protests is simply not true. There is no epidemic of cops shooting black people. They shoot more white people than they do black people. It’s just that the media won’t cover it. Considering our current police system basically sends cops out into our streets to look for trouble (majority of “crimes” are nonviolent) rather than protect property it’s inevitable that they’ll end up killing people unnecessarily. It’s a bad system. But the protesters are acting like cops are running around hunting black people while never bothering whites and that’s just not true.
  2. I’m not responsible for anything cops do because I’m white. The protesters seem to think otherwise. This is just ridiculous on its face and I refuse to give it any credence to it whatsoever.
  3. As everyone knows there are massive riots going on all over the country. So yeah, maybe the majority of protesters are peaceful, but the violent thugs looting stores are using them as cover. So guess what, nothing good is going to come out of your protests. You’re not going to help black communities or get any reform of police powers in this country. In fact, it’s the opposite. You’re going to destroy all the communities, regardless of demographics, where your protests taking place allowing looters to destroy everything in sight. And the cops are going to come out of this with bigger budgets and more manpower than before.

But at least some people feel good about it. It’s all about feeling like you’re doing something good. Consequences be damned.

Excess deaths update 6.3.20

Remember COVID-19? A week ago it was the worst plague to strike mankind in over 100 years and we all had to stay inside for the foreseeable future and close all small businesses or risk almost certain death! Well, now it’s OK to go outside and congregate in large groups if it’s to protest something our ruling elite has decided needs to be protested. And even if you want to burn and loot and riot that’s OK too.

But anyway, here are the latest stats on the dreaded Coronavirus we were supposed to be afraid of for March, April, and May – but not June – in June we need to pretend it doesn’t exist. Although lockdowns because of COVID continue in many states but they don’t apply to protesters/rioters/looters only people looking to open or patronize small businesses. Got that???

Using the latest CDC data, from the weeks ending 2/1 through 5/16 there were 83,922 reported COVID deaths and 75,839 “excess” deaths.

State comparisons. Remember Georgia and Florida were supposed to have a huge surge in deaths for ending their lockdowns early:

And the Garden State that continues to be on seemingly endless lockdowns. Although Phase 2 will “start” to be enacted on 6/15 which means “some” businesses will be allowed to operate if they follow a bunch of insane rules dreamt up by the Governor that he claims are based on science which no one can explain. Unfortunately, the data on expected deaths are screwed up on the site today so I’ve excluded that line.

NJ LTC deaths

Deaths up 72 today. LTC deaths up 69. Phase 2 supposedly starts going into effect on 6/15. That means outdoor dining, “some” hair salons, gyms, retail if you let the business take your temperature. Pathetic. Meanwhile, the rioters in Trenton aren’t social distancing, but Murphy still wants to boss around the peaceful people out in the burbs. After all, they’re not his voters so may as well fuck them over some more.

DATE TOTAL  LTC REPORTED %LTC CONFIRMED%
5/6/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/7/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/8/2020    8,801                     4,556 51.8%
5/9/2020    8,952                     4,691 52.4%
5/10/2020    9,116                     4,825 52.9%
5/11/2020    9,255                     4,855 52.5%
5/12/2020    9,310                     4,890 52.5%
5/13/2020    9,508                     4,953 52.1%
5/14/2020    9,702                     5,016 51.7%
5/15/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/16/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/17/2020  10,249                     5,319 51.9%
5/18/2020  10,356                     5,376 51.9%
5/19/2020  10,435                     5,408 51.8%
5/20/2020  10,586                     5,368 50.7%                    4,295 40.6%
5/21/2020  10,747                     5,410 50.3%                    4,349 40.5%
5/22/2020  10,843                     5,456 50.3%                    4,502 41.5%
5/23/2020  10,985                     5,485 49.9%                    4,665 42.5%
5/24/2020  11,081                     5,581 50.4%                    4,720 42.6%
5/25/2020  11,133                     5,619 50.5%                    4,755 42.7%
5/26/2020  11,144                     5,654 50.7%                    4,768 42.8%
5/27/2020  11,191                     5,684 50.8%                    4,793 42.8%
5/28/2020  11,339                     5,721 50.5%                    4,871 43.0%
5/29/2020  11,401                     5,751 50.4%                    4,804 42.1%
5/30/2020  11,531                     5,828 50.5%                    4,858 42.1%
6/1/2020  11,698                     5,892 50.4%                    4,935 42.2%
6/2/2020  11,770                     5,965 50.7%                    5,004 42.5%

Death tracker update 6.1.20

They’re still way behind on the data, but they did an update. Basically reassigned dates to deaths sot he curve isn’t all up and down anymore. My comments from last update still stand. Peaked back in mid-April and yet we are still locked down throughout much of the country while looters destroy what’s left of our economy. No social distancing taking place month the rioters, but governors don’t seem so tough on that aspect anymore. Pathetic.

NJ LTC death update 6.1.20

DATE TOTAL  LTC REPORTED %LTC CONFIRMED%
5/6/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/7/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/8/2020    8,801                     4,556 51.8%
5/9/2020    8,952                     4,691 52.4%
5/10/2020    9,116                     4,825 52.9%
5/11/2020    9,255                     4,855 52.5%
5/12/2020    9,310                     4,890 52.5%
5/13/2020    9,508                     4,953 52.1%
5/14/2020    9,702                     5,016 51.7%
5/15/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/16/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/17/2020  10,249                     5,319 51.9%
5/18/2020  10,356                     5,376 51.9%
5/19/2020  10,435                     5,408 51.8%
5/20/2020  10,586                     5,368 50.7%                    4,295 40.6%
5/21/2020  10,747                     5,410 50.3%                    4,349 40.5%
5/22/2020  10,843                     5,456 50.3%                    4,502 41.5%
5/23/2020  10,985                     5,485 49.9%                    4,665 42.5%
5/24/2020  11,081                     5,581 50.4%                    4,720 42.6%
5/25/2020  11,133                     5,619 50.5%                    4,755 42.7%
5/26/2020  11,144                     5,654 50.7%                    4,768 42.8%
5/27/2020  11,191                     5,684 50.8%                    4,793 42.8%
5/28/2020  11,339                     5,721 50.5%                    4,871 43.0%
5/29/2020  11,401                     5,751 50.4%                    4,804 42.1%
5/30/2020  11,531                     5,828 50.5%                    4,858 42.1%
6/1/2020  11,698                     5,892 50.4%                    4,935 42.2%

Lockdowns and riots

I know the “protests” going on right now that involve ransacking retail stores and burning down restaurants are in response to the police killing of an unarmed black man. And some of that may well have happened in Minneapolis anyway.

But I really do believe this turned into a nationwide orgy of looting and rioting because of the lockdown. People are bored, frustrated, it’s starting to get hot out.

This was inevitable.

End the damn lockdowns before this whole country burns down.

CNN attacked

CNN likes to pretend they’re on the side of “protesters” like we’ve seen rioting the last few days. They rarely miss a chance to stoke race hatred and drive hysteria that they think will hurt Trump or Republicans, or sometimes just white people in general.

Well, maybe they’re getting a taste of their own medicine.

NJ LTC death update 5.30.20

Since 5/21 when NJ started reporting “lab-confirmed” COVID deaths in nursing homes, the increase for overall confirmed deaths have been 382. For LTC residents, 563.

DATE TOTAL  LTC REPORTED %LTC CONFIRMED%
5/6/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/7/2020    8,549                     4,261 49.8%
5/8/2020    8,801                     4,556 51.8%
5/9/2020    8,952                     4,691 52.4%
5/10/2020    9,116                     4,825 52.9%
5/11/2020    9,255                     4,855 52.5%
5/12/2020    9,310                     4,890 52.5%
5/13/2020    9,508                     4,953 52.1%
5/14/2020    9,702                     5,016 51.7%
5/15/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/16/2020  10,138                     5,259 51.9%
5/17/2020  10,249                     5,319 51.9%
5/18/2020  10,356                     5,376 51.9%
5/19/2020  10,435                     5,408 51.8%
5/20/2020  10,586                     5,368 50.7%                    4,295 40.6%
5/21/2020  10,747                     5,410 50.3%                    4,349 40.5%
5/22/2020  10,843                     5,456 50.3%                    4,502 41.5%
5/23/2020  10,985                     5,485 49.9%                    4,665 42.5%
5/24/2020  11,081                     5,581 50.4%                    4,720 42.6%
5/25/2020  11,133                     5,619 50.5%                    4,755 42.7%
5/26/2020  11,144                     5,654 50.7%                    4,768 42.8%
5/27/2020  11,191                     5,684 50.8%                    4,793 42.8%
5/28/2020  11,339                     5,721 50.5%                    4,871 43.0%
5/29/2020  11,401                     5,751 50.4%                    4,804 42.1%
5/30/2020  11,531                     5,828 50.5%                    4,858 42.1%

Comparison of flu seasons update 5.29.20

It was definitely a bad few weeks back in April. Higher than usual deaths.

Was it worth locking down most of the country? Even putting aside the lack of evidence that lockdowns save lives – and mounting evidence that they may kill people – this very unfortunate death toll must e put in some perspective. This may end up being worse than the data so far suggest, but as it stands now through Week 19 (ending May 9), there were 55,425 more deaths in the 2019-2020 flu season than there were in 2017-2018. That’s a 3.05% increase. As horrible as any death is, this is not the end of the world. We didn’t need to destroy our society over it.

Because the COVID-19 virus affects mainly the sick and elderly, particularly in LTC facilities, it should be interesting to see how this plays out through the end of the flu season. I wonder if some people who succumbed to COVID related deaths may have simply died a few weeks or months earlier than if they hadn’t caught the virus. If that’s the case you may see deaths in future months drop below average.

Of course, if the lockdowns cause as many deaths as some speculate, the death count could end up being much higher than normal. Let’s hope that is not the case. We shall see.