I’m done with Trump

I should have known better, but I thought here was a guy who didn’t owe the establishment anything.  Everyone with any significant power during the Bush-Obama years was against him.  They did everything in their power to destroy him and prevent him from winning the presidency.  The media, virtually every well known politician, Hollywood celebrities, Wall Street, “respectable” Europeans, the foreign policy “establishment.”  They were all aligned against him, and despite whatever party affiliation or claim to impartiality they may have held prior to 2016, they all did whatever they could to restore the Clintons to power.

And Trump specifically campaigned against Mid-East Wars.  Aside from immigration it was his number one issue.  He said it wasn’t in American interests to intervene in all these foreign conflicts and he was right.  I certainly had my doubts about him, but I thought at least he won’t mindlessly attack, bomb, or invade these Muslim countries anymore.  At least there will be less war under this clown than there was under Obama.  Certainly less than there would be under a Clinton regime.

Less than three months in and he’s bombed Syria because of some chemical weapons attack that will almost certainly turn out to be a false flag.  Or maybe an instance where the Syrian military bombed a warehouse where the rebels were storing chemical weapons. Why did he do it?  Because he was upset that “beautiful babies” were killed.  So he bombed a country and is ready to escalate a war that was winding down.  This escalation will certainly result in even more dead babies. It will result in more refugees flooding the West including the United States.  It will inspire more terrorists.

Incredibly, he seems ready to risk war with Russia to overthrow the Syrian dictator which is pure insanity.  This after promising for the past year that he would get along with Putin.

Fuck Trump.  He’s completely betrayed his campaign rhetoric in the first hundred days. He only won the presidency because he repudiated the neocons in the primaries and then immediately after taking office became a neocon himself.  I mean would Jeb Bush be much different as far as actual results are concerned?  Trump tried to pass Paul Ryan’s ObamaCare light and denounced libertarians and conservatives that were against it.  He’s done nothing on immigration other than a travel ban that was immediately blocked by some Obama era judges.  The troop buildup in Eastern Europe continues unabated.  The man who called NATO “obsolete” just enthusiastically expanded it by adding Montenegro. (Please explain to me how Americans benefit from Montenegro being under US protection. What happened to America First?)

Is there anything positive coming?  Doesn’t look good to me.

I guess at least TPP is dead.  Although even Killary campaigned against that thing.

Don’t join the military. Don’t wave the flag. Don’t support the D.C. regime under any circumstances. Don’t put any faith in any candidates for office. Even supposed outsiders will immediately capitulate and go along with the Deep State the minute they assume the presidency.

Rand Paul calls out warmonger McCain

Here’s a great quote:

“Everything that [McCain] says about the president is colored by his own personal dispute he’s got running with President Trump and it should be taken with a grain of salt, because John McCain’s the guy that’s advocated for war everywhere. He would bankrupt the nation.”

And this:

“And actually, we’re very lucky John McCain’s not in charge because I think we would be in perpetual war,”

He’s right of course.  John McCain is a crazed psychopath who never met a war he didn’t want to immediately involve the United States in militarily.  To him there is always a good guy and bad guy in every foreign dispute and the USA has to recklessly charge in and help the good guy.  If hundreds of thousands or millions of people get killed along the way?  No biggie.  “We” meant well and that’s all that matters.  And of course any foreigner who survives a US war of aggression is welcome to move to the United States at taxpayer expense.  And US troops can never leave these foreign lands and the wars can never officially end.  “We” must occupy the conquered country permanently.

The people of Arizona, and indeed all Americans, should be ashamed that a man like this sits in the US Senate.  (Although to be honest a lot of horrible people have “served” and continue to “serve” in Congress.)

I am also glad to see that Ron Paul’s son is opposing any position in the Trump Administration for the neocon John Bolton:

“I think John Bolton would be much closer to McCain than Trump and I think that his history of sort of acting on his own, my fear is that secret wars would be developing around the globe. So no, I think he would be a bad choice,”

Deep State ousts Trump’s national security adviser. Media, Republicans celebrate.

Michael Flynn resigned.  99% of the American people have never heard of this guy, but it’s huge news because he spoke with the Russian ambassador, US spies recorded it, and he didn’t tell Vice President Pence that he spoke to them.  The War Street Journal is up in arms:

In just a few weeks, the nascent administration is being weighed down from within, sidetracked by dishonesty and potential ethical lapses as well as attacks from his own supporters and fellow Republicans.

Dishonesty and ethical lapses?  Oh my God!  I just can’t imagine a presidential administration that isn’t 100% honest and ethical.  Impeach Trump now!

John McCain can’t stand it:

“It’s a dysfunctional White House, and nobody knows who’s in charge,”

Whatever asshole.  Flynn wanted good relations with Russia so he had to go even though he was a warmongering maniac when it came to most other countries.  Can’t say I’ll really miss him all that much, but let’s just pray we don’t get some straight up anti-Russian Israel-first neocon as a replacement.

This is what Trump gets for surrounding himself with too many Establishment Republicans who would be more comfortable with a Mike Pence or John McCain than they are with Trump who they view as a threat.  Most of his own subordinates will stop at nothing to derail many of his stated objectives, particularly his foreign policy which isn’t nearly anti-Russian or generally belligerent enough for them.

Can Trump stand up to these bastards?  I have serious doubts that he’s up to it.  And even if he does, they can always manufacture some scandal involving the dreaded Putin to shut him up or possibly even drive him from office.

Trump acknowledges US government killers

From an interview that will air prior to the Super Bowl:

“But, [Putin] is a killer,” O’Reilly said.

“There are a lot of killers,” Trump responded, “We’ve got a lot of killers. What do you think? Our country’s so innocent?”

It’s about time we had a president that accepts reality when it comes to US foreign policy. The idea that the Washington Regime sends its military around the globe blowing shit up solely to help poor innocent foreigners because America is so good and kind hearted is one of the most absurd and dangerous notions that too many people have been buying into for the past seventy years.  Enough is enough.  I seriously doubt Russia has killed more people than the combined bloody efforts of Clinton/Bush/Obama since Putin came to power in 1999.

Of course the War wing of the Republican Party was quick to denounce their own president in their never ending effort to stoke war with Russia.  In his response to Trumps statements, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell called Putin a “thug” and claimed his election as Russian president wasn’t “credible.”  This despite having domestic approval ratings that dwarf any recent US president.

For those people out there who hate Trump, think he’s Hitler, and are worried he’s going to destroy Democracy or whatever, calm down.  Just about everyone in the ruling elite is against this man.  Most Republicans who actually hold any power in this country hate him as much as any Democrat, judge, media personality, or corporate CEO does.  They’ll do whatever they can (and they can do a lot) to make sure the wars continue, the subsidized mass migration from the third world continues, and the banksters, merchants of death, drug companies, etc. get paid.

Trump will have a hell of a time making any real changes to the corrupt cesspool known as Washington, D.C.  Chances are when it’s all said and done, despite the chaotic first two weeks and all the America First rhetoric, he’ll have been a much more conventional (and to those who voted for him disappointing) president than anyone expects.

Is Trump administration starting trouble with China?

Trump spokesman says US won’t allow China to take over some rocks in the South China Sea because they’re in “international territories.”  Gotta love this quote:

The U.S. is going to make sure that we protect our interests there.

Hate to break it to you Donald, but I like just about every other American, don’t have any “interests” in the South China Sea. Stay the hell out of there just like you would expect China to stay out of the Caribbean Sea.  It’s none of “our” business.

America First.  Remember your campaign slogan?  Or your Inaugural Address from 4 days ago?

All Hail Emperor Trump!

Image result for emperor trump

So Trump has survived long enough to be inaugurated as the forty-fifth president of these United States.  What do the next four years hold in store for us assuming the CIA doesn’t assassinate him, get him impeached, or force him to resign?

Foreign Policy:

Best Case Scenario: The United States more or less minds its own business regarding the internal affairs of other nations.

Russia and the United States reach a detente and a new Cold War is avoided.  Tensions in Europe subside.  Rather than expanding, some countries actually quit NATO because Trump tries to force them to pay their share of the military budget.

The US slowly but surely pulls its remaining troops out of Afghanistan and Iraq, and Trump resists the calls to re-invade when the situations on the ground inevitably deteriorate. Russia and the Syrian government smash what is left of ISIS so that issue dies down, and the Donald doesn’t feel obligated to start a fresh bombing campaign.  Trump stops backing Saudi Arabia in its terror war against Yemen.  Despite warmongering rhetoric during and after the campaign on the Republican side, the US leaves the Iran agreement in place.  Israel doesn’t do anything too crazy.

The situation between China and its neighbors de facto stabilizes as Asian countries don’t trust the US to back them up militarily.  Trump lets this happen.

Some overseas bases actually close.  Korea, Eastern Europe, Turkey, maybe?  Some troops come home.

Worst Case Scenario:  Trump can’t resist the War Party propaganda and plunges the military into some foreign quagmire or escalates an existing one.

Tensions with Russia rise because Trump can’t handle being called Putin’s puppet and sabotages the relationship between the two leaders.  More troops and missiles are sent to Eastern Europe and the NATO budget, mainly on the backs of US taxpayers, grows out of control.  I still don’t see a straight up US-Russia war breaking out, but things could get very ugly in this scenario.

The US continues to back destabilizing Israeli and Saudi Arabian policies as the Middle East devolves into all out Sunni-Shia warfare in multiple countries.  Turkey intervenes with US backing.  Trump can’t help but bomb somebody that John McCain doesn’t like.  Ground troops are sent in, but we don’t see anything close to what we had during the Iraq War. 10,000 or so troops remain in Afghanistan killing people and wasting money.

Trump threatens China, visits Taiwan, and says Vietnam or some other country owns the rocks in the South China Sea that China loves so much.  Hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Naval hardware is sent to the region and more bases open.  The US debt skyrockets as a result.

Prediction: Probably wind up somewhere in between, but I’m fairly optimistic in this arena.  I think we’ll end up much closer to the best case scenario than the worst case.  I do think no matter what, the standard military budget will grow unfortunately.  But overall spending on the overseas Empire may actually decline as the US bombs and intervenes less.

Domestic Policy

Best Case Scenario: Massive deregulation and tax cuts.  The Fed raises rates.  The bubble we’re currently in pops early and the recession comes sooner rather than later.  By 2020, the economy is booming.  Trump is re-elected and the economy continues to improve.  The popular entitlement programs are “shored up” at least for the near term, but some of the more wasteful programs are ended.  Obamacare is repealed and replaced with something that’s a little more efficient and a little less costly (but still bad).  The budgets of various useless cabinet departments stay more or less flat.

Worst Case Scenario: Only superficial deregulation that has no major effect on industry. Tax cuts are blocked.  Fed procrastinates on raising rates.  The bubble pops late in Trump’s term, and Elizabeth Warren or some clueless Obama clone gets elected in 2020 and further decimates the economy leading to Great Depression 2.0.  Several cabinet departments pointlessly grow their budgets.  Obamacare stays in place, bankrupts insurance companies, costs grow out of control, and the next administration introduces the dreaded single payer system.

Prediction:  I’m pretty worried on this one.  I don’t think it will be as dire as the Worst Case Scenario.  But unfortunately I wouldn’t be surprised if Trump ends up a one term president and the Democrat replacement makes Obama look like Friedrich Hayek.

Trade: 

Best Case Scenario: Trump cancels all pending trade deals.  Renegotiates NAFTA so it’s actually a little more liberal (despite rhetoric to the contrary) and is more favorable to small businesses.  There are going to be some protectionist measures taken, but hopefully they are minor, encourage a couple specific companies to open up a few new factories so Trump has a photo op, and nothing too drastic occurs in terms of tariffs.

Worst Case Scenario: Huge tariffs.  A trade war with China.  NAFTA gets renegotiated in a way that helps a few giant American corporations and helps a few thousand people get jobs, but hurts everyone else.  Real consumer prices go through the roof and we’re all worse off.

Prediction: Somewhere in between, but my guess is we’ll see plenty of protectionist measures taken which will cause hardships for average Americans.  Jettisoning these trade deals that have been all the rage for the past twenty-five years may be good in the long term however.  I could also see the dollar continue to strengthen if the Feds raise rates which may offset rising prices due to tariffs.

Immigration:

Best Case Scenario: Welfare programs that rely on federal money are cut off to immigrants who come here illegally.  Localities are no longer required to offer services to illegal immigrants.  The number of legal immigrants is reduced.  Jobs programs that incentivize companies to hire immigrants rather than native born Americans are eliminated.  Less people come here permanently. Those that do are more likely to be productive members of society.  Those that are here to leech off Americans either self deport or head to localities like San Fransisco that seem to get some sort of smug self righteous satisfaction from supporting them.  Everyone is more or less happy and Americans are less suspicious of those foreigners in their midst.

Worst Case Scenario: One of two things can happen.  Congress doesn’t go along with any of Trump’s proposals and he just gives up on enforcement because he’s tired of wasting political capital on it while dealing with a hostile press and protesters.  In this case massive subsidized immigration continues unabated.

The other bad scenario is he goes totally overboard fining and raiding businesses.  He makes border crossing and tourism in the US almost impossible for average people.  The whole endeavor helps grow the police state and life becomes worse for everyone.

Prediction: I think we’ll have some sort of weak version of the best case scenario.  It will be a slight improvement and immigration will slow somewhat.  It’s hard to predict because Trump is the first winning candidate for President in living memory that actually advocated having lower immigration.  But the press will call Trump a horrible Nazi and exaggerate any enforcement measures no matter what happens.  We’ll be subjected to countless news stories about how poor Maria came here form Guatemala so her disabled son Hector could get the medicine he needs, but Trump had them all deported back to their impoverished dirt farm, etc.

Overall Prediction:  Really hard to say.  Trump is obviously a very unorthodox anti-establishment figure.  Unprecedented in modern American politics.  But my best guess is more or less positive.  A lot less war.  Immigration will at least slow somewhat. The culture will stabilize after the leftists get over their current hysteria.  The economy will do okay, and we’ll avoid any major depression.