Not sure why it’s still a week behind, but they finally updated it. Nothing really unexpected. The peak never got as bad as the modelers feared (and remember this is the 4/2 model which was already revised down). But the decline in daily deaths has been much slower than the modelers predicted.
As I’ve stated before, I believe this is due to the large number of nursing home deaths that have continued for some time after the overall rate of hospitalizations and percent of positive tests began declining. Of course, these same modelers way overpredicted hospitalizations causing several governors to panic and force COVID positive patients into nursing homes spreading the disease and driving up the death count. These same governors are now using these high death counts (while conveniently downplaying the fact they’re mainly in LTC facilities at this point) to continue their insane lockdown policies.


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